Friday, February 25, 2011

Bear Trader Writes on "Global Warming"

One of the formal rules of science is that one must choose the least hypothesis. As Einstein put it, an hypothesis must however fully model the observations. ("An hypothesis must be as simple as possible, but no simpler.") A simpler hypothesis that does not model (describe, explain) the data must be rejected in favor of an hypothesis which does. In other words, a scientific hypothesis is the least hypothesis that encompasses the observational data.

A climatological model, hypothesis, must encompass all the observed data as well. The atmospheric greenhouse gas climatological hypothesis attempts to model global warming and cooling as a function of carbon dioxide, methane, etc. concentrations in the atmosphere. Over the last decade a new paradigm, a new hypothesis, has evolved showing that the "greenhouse gas" model is inadequate.

Attached pdf is aimed at the public. Very simple really. Very, very convincing.
The recently trumpeted Antarctic ice shelf melting events are explained by the new hypothesis also.

Modern industrial life is not the cause of "global warming".
Anthropogenic Global Warming has gone the way of Lamarck, of the Ptolemaic Earth centered universe, into the dustbin of history. The politicians, business, and media are simply trying to get as much mileage from it as they can irrespective of the truth,as usual. Carbon dioxide "cap and trade" is expected to run trillions of dollars per year making some vastly rich and powerful at the expense of the little guy.

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