Memoirs of a conservative in the midst of financial turmoil, 2007-2011. Musings that cut through the propaganda from both sides of the isle. Saved memories printed for review. An analysis that stood the test of timely events.
Monday, July 9, 2012
The Short Squeeze---Point, Counterpoint
The Question:
On 7/5/12, The Evansville Observer wrote:
> Bear Trader
> Please review how the commodities spiked up prior to the 4th of July. Oil
> spikes up 8 dollars in one day, coffee spikes from 1.65 to 1.80.
> Question: This seems to defy the fundamentals. Was this just the program
> guys trying to spook the shorts and force them to cover? What is your take
> on it.
> China is slowing....this should slow demand for oil...coffee is
> aplenty....why why why
The Answer: Date: Sunday, July 8, 2012, 2:53 AM
I don't know, Observer. A short squeeze is as good an explanation as any.
I think it was the HFT guys. Some sort of algorithmic interaction
amongst the the machines, a bit like the Flash Crash, maybe. The
machines can't dance together, they are just like assembly line
robots, skilled humans must intervene when they start bumping each
other. Maybe the algos were programed to anticipate a short squeeze
last Tuesday. Robots are very damned dangerous to be around.
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